As an accidental President, it is tempting to see President Samia as weak and at the mercy of Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM) big beasts. But what she has done in office appears to confound this comforting assumption. Despite an apparent lack of enduring CCM power base, she has managed [...]
The Integrated Security Fund (ISF) should be clearly defined and understood by all. It is a UK national security force multiplier that uses Official Development Assistance (ODA) means and resources to help achieve political, strategic, and security goals. However, the strategy the ISF is designed to support is [...]
The problems of Tigray are not to be found in former fighters awaiting a sustainable return to civilian life; nor in the internally displaced people awaiting the chance to return to their homes; nor in the hopes for recovery of war shattered communities; nor even in the fact [...]
Disarmament, demobilisation and reintegration (DDR) can be both a mechanical process of transforming former fighters into civilian roles; and a strategic process to help create stability and prosperity in a post-conflict society. In Tigray, this strategic outcome would also contribute to Ethiopian national stability and security, as [...]
Many will be suffering from whiplash due to recent events. Navigating the new normal and responding to it is challenging. The news that the UK will increase its defence budget at the expense of its development budget is disheartening. The world isn’t black and white. Situations don’t lend [...]
Tigray has suffered a civil war of devastating proportions. The fighting is now over, but the challenge of re-building a fractured society still remains. One of these challenges is the question of disarmament, demobilisation and reintegration (DDR). But that challenge does not stand in isolation – Tigray [...]
In a world beset by COVID-19 (C19), the scope to miss other important signs of change or tension is great. In the Horn of Africa, Ethiopia features in quite a number situation, some of which are coming to a head quietly and in the background. It is as [...]
There is no doubt that COVID-19 is a massive change. Many, many assumptions have been tested and found wanting; and many people are wondering what to do next, how to adapt, and what the future holds. But there are limits to conventional programming. Adaptive programming, long theoretical [...]
Introduction Covid-19 (C19) is not just a public health issue. It will have serious consequences for stability and security in many countries, with implications both for the countries themselves and for their international partners. Existing partnerships based on assumptions about a status quo that no longer exists will [...]
Ethiopia is caught in the eye of a storm. It is managing a number of transitions, all at the same time. And it is doing so against the ticking of a number of clocks. Time is against a guarantee of stable and peaceful change in [...]